Prosecutor's fallacy
The prosecutor's fallacy is a fallacy of statistical reasoning involving a test for an occurrence, such as a DNA match. A positive result in the test may paradoxically be more likely to be an erroneous result than an actual occurrence, even if the test is very accurate. The fallacy is named because it is typically used by a prosecutor to exaggerate the probability of a criminal defendant's guilt. The fallacy can be used to support other claims as well – including the innocence of a defendant.
Abductive reasoningBase rate fallacyBinary classificationConfusion of the inverseCourtier's replyCriminal justice system of JapanDNA profilingDefender's fallacyDefense attorney's fallacyEthics in mathematicsFallacy of transposed conditionalFalse positives and false negativesForensic DNA analysisIndex of criminology articlesIndex of logic articlesIndex of philosophy articles (I–Q)JurimetricsLikelihood functionList of fallaciesList of statistics articlesLucia de BerkMeadow's lawMisuse of p-valuesMisuse of statisticsPeople v. CollinsPrivileging the hypothesisPriviliging the hypothesisProsecutor's FallacyRoy MeadowSally ClarkStatisticsStudent's t-distributionType I and type II errors
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Prosecutor's fallacy
The prosecutor's fallacy is a fallacy of statistical reasoning involving a test for an occurrence, such as a DNA match. A positive result in the test may paradoxically be more likely to be an erroneous result than an actual occurrence, even if the test is very accurate. The fallacy is named because it is typically used by a prosecutor to exaggerate the probability of a criminal defendant's guilt. The fallacy can be used to support other claims as well – including the innocence of a defendant.
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A falácia do promotor é uma fa ...... ias dado que o réu é inocente.
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Błąd rozumowania prokuratorski ...... a innych przyczyn zdarzenia A.
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Le sophisme du procureur est u ...... entiellement bien plus faible.
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The prosecutor's fallacy is a ...... B|A) may still be much higher.
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檢察官謬誤(prosecutor's fallacy)是一種非形式謬誤,係取一不甚相關、或有關但未正確考慮條件機率的數據,認定被告「無辜的機率」很小。
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A falácia do promotor é uma fa ...... tuações além do direito penal.
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Błąd rozumowania prokuratorski ...... kich rzutach otrzymujemy orła.
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Le sophisme du procureur est u ...... on et Edward Schumann en 1987.
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The prosecutor's fallacy is a ...... the innocence of a defendant.
@en
檢察官謬誤(prosecutor's fallacy)是一種非形式謬誤,係取一不甚相關、或有關但未正確考慮條件機率的數據,認定被告「無辜的機率」很小。
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Błąd rozumowania prokuratorskiego
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Falácia do promotor
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Prosecutor's fallacy
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Sophisme du procureur
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檢察官謬誤
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