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Measuring Individual Differences in Decision Biases: Methodological Considerations.The base rate principle and the fairness principle in social judgmentHow to Make Cognitive Illusions Disappear: Beyond “Heuristics and Biases”Bayesian pretest probability estimation for primary malignant bone tumors based on the Surveillance, Epidemiology and End Results Program (SEER) database.Recognizing, naming, and measuring a family intensive care unit syndrome.Instruction in information structuring improves Bayesian judgment in intelligence analystsCognitive and Motivational Biases in Decision and Risk Analysis.Natural frequencies facilitate diagnostic inferences of managers.Determinants of judgment and decision making quality: the interplay between information processing style and situational factorsOn Bayesian problem-solving: helping Bayesians solve simple Bayesian word problemsTwo Different Views on the World Around Us: The World of Uniformity versus Diversity.How to foster citizens' statistical reasoning: implications for genetic counseling.Probabilistic Inference: Task Dependency and Individual Differences of Probability Weighting Revealed by Hierarchical Bayesian ModelingCognitive Reflection, Decision Biases, and Response Times.When can scientific studies promote consensus among conflicting stakeholders?The Importance of Conditional Probability in Diagnostic Reasoning and Clinical Decision Making: A Primer for the Eye Care Practitioner.Characterizing Human Expertise Using Computational Metrics of Feature Diagnosticity in a Pattern Matching Task.Failures of explaining away and screening off in described versus experienced causal learning scenarios.Information selection and use in hypothesis testing: what is a good question, and what is a good answer?Making better decisions in groups.Teaching pigeons to commit base-rate neglect.How do we want others to decide?: Geographical distance influences evaluations of decision makers.Voluntary Sleep Choice and Its Effects on Bayesian Decisions.Facilitating effect of natural frequencies: size does not matter.Population Base Rates and Disease Course of Common Psychiatric and Neurodegenerative Disorders.How Anxiety Leads to Suboptimal Decisions Under Risky Choice Situations.Screening for Mental Health Problems: Addressing the Base Rate Fallacy for a Sustainable Screening Program in Integrated Primary Care.Is probabilistic evidence a source of knowledge?Judging the Probability of Hypotheses Versus the Impact of Evidence: Which Form of Inductive Inference Is More Accurate and Time-Consistent?When does information about causal structure improve statistical reasoning?The relativity of bad decisions: social comparison as a means to alleviate regret.Nudging and Boosting: Steering or Empowering Good Decisions.Beliefs and Bayesian reasoning.Causal explanation improves judgment under uncertainty, but rarely in a Bayesian way.Integration of base rates and new information in an abstract hypothesis-testing task.Early warning signals of stochastic switching.Why does the base rate appear to be ignored? The equiprobability hypothesis.Reducing the influence of anecdotal reasoning on people's health care decisions: is a picture worth a thousand statistics?The inverse fallacy: an account of deviations from Bayes's theorem and the additivity principle.Who uses base rates and P(D/approximately H)? An analysis of individual differences.
P2860
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P2860
description
wetenschappelijk artikel
@nl
наукова стаття, опублікована в травні 1980
@uk
name
The base-rate fallacy in probability judgments
@en
The base-rate fallacy in probability judgments
@nl
type
label
The base-rate fallacy in probability judgments
@en
The base-rate fallacy in probability judgments
@nl
prefLabel
The base-rate fallacy in probability judgments
@en
The base-rate fallacy in probability judgments
@nl
P1433
P1476
The base-rate fallacy in probability judgments
@en
P2093
Maya Bar-Hillel
P304
P356
10.1016/0001-6918(80)90046-3
P577
1980-05-01T00:00:00Z