about
Representation facilitates reasoning: what natural frequencies are and what they are not.Research on hindsight bias: a rich past, a productive present, and a challenging future.The role of representative design in an ecological approach to cognition.Natural frequencies facilitate diagnostic inferences of managers.Visual aids improve diagnostic inferences and metacognitive judgment calibration.Chances and risks in medical risk communication.Societal perspectives on risk awareness and risk competence.Toward an ecological analysis of Bayesian inferences: how task characteristics influence responsesNatural frequencies improve Bayesian reasoning in simple and complex inference tasksThe impact of affect on willingness-to-pay and desired-set-size.Visual representation of statistical information improves diagnostic inferences in doctors and their patients.Processes models, environmental analyses, and cognitive architectures: quo vadis quantum probability theory?When one cue is not enough: combining fast and frugal heuristics with compound cue processing.Hindsight bias: how knowledge and heuristics affect our reconstruction of the past.Fast and frugal heuristics are plausible models of cognition: reply to Dougherty, Franco-Watkins, and Thomas (2008).Inferences under time pressure: how opportunity costs affect strategy selection.Intuition beyond recognition: when less familiar events are liked more.Teaching Bayesian reasoning: an evaluation of a classroom tutorial for medical students.How to keep children safe in traffic: find the daredevils early.How to improve Bayesian reasoning without instruction: Frequency formatsOvercoming difficulties in Bayesian reasoning: A reply to Lewis and Keren (1999) and Mellers and McGraw (1999)Simple Heuristics: The Foundations of Adaptive Social BehaviorChapter 108 One-Reason Decision MakingPostscript: Fast and frugal heuristicsCommunicating Quantitative Risk Information
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description
researcher ORCID ID = 0000-0002-5222-1564
@en
wetenschapper
@nl
name
Ulrich Hoffrage
@ast
Ulrich Hoffrage
@en
Ulrich Hoffrage
@es
Ulrich Hoffrage
@nl
type
label
Ulrich Hoffrage
@ast
Ulrich Hoffrage
@en
Ulrich Hoffrage
@es
Ulrich Hoffrage
@nl
prefLabel
Ulrich Hoffrage
@ast
Ulrich Hoffrage
@en
Ulrich Hoffrage
@es
Ulrich Hoffrage
@nl
P31
P496
0000-0002-5222-1564