How to improve Bayesian reasoning without instruction: Frequency formats
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Significance testing as perverse probabilistic reasoning.Explaining computation of predictive values: 2 x 2 table versus frequency tree. A randomized controlled trial [ISRCTN74278823]Comprehension and computation in Bayesian problem solvingHypothetical Outcome Plots Outperform Error Bars and Violin Plots for Inferences about Reliability of Variable Ordering.Reasoning and choice in the Monty Hall Dilemma (MHD): implications for improving Bayesian reasoningGood fences make for good neighbors but bad science: a review of what improves Bayesian reasoning and whyCollective animal decisions: preference conflict and decision accuracyWhat is my cancer risk? How internet-based cancer risk assessment tools communicate individualized risk estimates to the public: content analysisIntuitions of probabilities shape expectations about the future at 12 months and beyond.A quantitative model of optimal data selection in Wason's selection task.Data selection and natural sampling: probabilities do matter.Optimal data selection: revision, review, and reevaluation.Negations and natural sampling in data selection: ecological versus heuristic explanations of matching bias.Using hypothetical data to assess the effect of numerical format and context on the perception of coronary heart disease risk.Psychological typhoon eye in the 2008 Wenchuan earthquake.Pretest expectations strongly influence interpretation of abnormal laboratory results and further managementRisk communication in clinical trials: a cognitive experiment and a surveyImpact of informed-choice invitations on diabetes screening knowledge, attitude and intentions: an analogue studyThe effect of cognitive load on decision making with graphically displayed uncertainty information.Developing and user-testing Decision boxes to facilitate shared decision making in primary care--a study protocol.Broadening behavioral decision research: multiple levels of cognitive processing.You are fair, but I expect you to also behave unfairly: Positive asymmetry in trait-behavior relations for moderate morality informationExperience matters: information acquisition optimizes probability gainThe psychology of Bayesian reasoningA primer on receiver operating characteristic analysis and diagnostic efficiency statistics for pediatric psychology: we are ready to ROC.Communicating risk in prenatal screening: the consequences of Bayesian misapprehension.The paranoid optimist: an integrative evolutionary model of cognitive biases.Design features of graphs in health risk communication: a systematic review.Base-rate respect: From ecological rationality to dual processes.Modularity and the social mind: are psychologists too self-ish?Instruction in information structuring improves Bayesian judgment in intelligence analystsNatural frequencies facilitate diagnostic inferences of managers.The Dilution Effect and Information Integration in Perceptual Decision Making.Causal Networks or Causal Islands? The Representation of Mechanisms and the Transitivity of Causal Judgment.Visual aids improve diagnostic inferences and metacognitive judgment calibration.On the Supposed Evidence for Libertarian Paternalism.Is it time for studying real-life debiasing? Evaluation of the effectiveness of an analogical intervention technique.Toward an ecological analysis of Bayesian inferences: how task characteristics influence responsesOn Bayesian problem-solving: helping Bayesians solve simple Bayesian word problemsBayesian probability estimates are not necessary to make choices satisfying Bayes' rule in elementary situations
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How to improve Bayesian reasoning without instruction: Frequency formats
description
im Januar 1995 veröffentlichter wissenschaftlicher Artikel
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wetenschappelijk artikel
@nl
наукова стаття, опублікована в 1995
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name
How to improve Bayesian reasoning without instruction: Frequency formats
@en
How to improve Bayesian reasoning without instruction: Frequency formats
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type
label
How to improve Bayesian reasoning without instruction: Frequency formats
@en
How to improve Bayesian reasoning without instruction: Frequency formats
@nl
prefLabel
How to improve Bayesian reasoning without instruction: Frequency formats
@en
How to improve Bayesian reasoning without instruction: Frequency formats
@nl
P1433
P1476
How to improve Bayesian reasoning without instruction: Frequency formats
@en
P304
P356
10.1037/0033-295X.102.4.684
P577
1995-01-01T00:00:00Z